{"schema_version":"worldriskwatch.public.hourly.v1.1","record_id":"2026-10-21T01:07:53Z","generated_at_utc":"2026-10-21T01:07:53Z","canonical_url":"https://worldrisk.watch/records/2026/10/21/0107/","headline":{"grci":82.9,"regime":"SEVERE","direction":"stable","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_6h":null,"delta_24h":null,"confidence":88.5},"summary":{"public_interpretation":"Global systemic risk remains SEVERE at 82.9. No validated material change is published in this hourly edition.","dominant_driver":"Geopolitical conflict is the strongest pressure domain; active convergence spans Geopolitical conflict -> Supply chain / maritime -> Financial / macro","convergence_summary":"Cross-domain convergence is 63.0.","geographic_focus":""},"domains":{"geopolitical_conflict":{"score":96.2,"delta_1h":0.0},"natural_physical_hazards":{"score":41.8,"delta_1h":0.0},"cyber_internet":{"score":60.2,"delta_1h":0.0},"financial_macro":{"score":63.0,"delta_1h":0.0},"supply_chain_maritime":{"score":91.1,"delta_1h":0.0},"health_biosecurity":{"score":67.0,"delta_1h":0.0}},"public_topics":["M 4.5 - 111 km S of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea","M 4.5 - 142 km SSW of Abepura, Indonesia","M 4.5 - 215 km S of Burica, Panama","M 4.6 - 115 km NNE of Barishal, Pakistan","M 4.7 - Kuril Islands","M 4.8 - south of the Fiji Islands","M 4.9 - 187 km NW of Port-Olry, Vanuatu","M 4.9 - south of the Fiji Islands","M 5.0 - 21 km SW of Meulaboh, Indonesia","M 5.1 - 39 km W of Mosteiros, Portugal","M 5.4 - 192 km S of Burica, Panama","USGS Magnitude 4.5+ Earthquakes, Past Month"],"public_entities":["Jabal Dubās mountain","197 km NW of Port-Olry, Vanuatu","Tropical Cyclone 02S"],"public_geo_signals":[{"label":"Jabal Dubās mountain","lat":14.0296,"lon":43.5103,"intensity":0.962,"domain":"geopolitical_conflict","kind":"event","confidence":1.0},{"label":"197 km NW of Port-Olry, Vanuatu","lat":-13.9906,"lon":165.5892,"intensity":0.811,"domain":"natural_physical_hazards","kind":"event","confidence":1.0},{"label":"Tropical Cyclone 02S","lat":-5.1,"lon":52.7,"intensity":0.711,"domain":"natural_physical_hazards","kind":"event","confidence":1.0}],"public_geo_links":[],"record_context":{"previous_record_url":"https://worldrisk.watch/records/2026/10/20/2249/","next_record_url":"https://worldrisk.watch/records/2026/10/21/0646/","historical_percentile":null,"record_flags":["LEGACY_CONTINUITY"]},"assets":{"social_preview":"https://worldrisk.watch/records/2026/10/21/0107/og.png","json":"https://worldrisk.watch/records/2026/10/21/0107/record.json","canonical":"https://worldrisk.watch/records/2026/10/21/0107/"}}